Téléchargez le livre : Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View



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Éditeur :

Springer


Collection :

The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis

Paru le : 2010-10-23



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Description
International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.
Pages
316 pages
Collection
The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Parution
2010-10-23
Marque
Springer
EAN papier
9789048188963
EAN EPUB
9789048188970
Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
3
Nombre pages imprimables
31
Taille du fichier
3482 Ko
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Prix
94,94 €

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