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Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment

A Practitioner's Guidebook

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Éditeur :

Springer


Collection :

Springer Series in Reliability Engineering

Paru le : 2011-08-30



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Description

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software. This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described. A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic selection of an appropriate MCMC sampling scheme for a given problem. The authors provide analysis “building blocks” that can be modified, combined, or used as-is to solve a variety of challenging problems.
The MCMC approach used is implemented via textual scripts similar to a macro-type programming language. Accompanying most scripts is a graphical Bayesian network illustrating the elements of the script and the overall inference problem being solved. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment also covers the important topics of MCMC convergence and Bayesian model checking.
Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment is aimed at scientists and engineers who perform or review risk analyses. It provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models.
Pages
228 pages
Collection
Springer Series in Reliability Engineering
Parution
2011-08-30
Marque
Springer
EAN papier
9781849961868
EAN EPUB
9781849961875
Informations sur l'ebook
Nombre pages copiables
2
Nombre pages imprimables
22
Taille du fichier
1946 Ko
Ce livre est accessible aux handicaps Voir les informations sur l'accessibilité
Prix
231,04 €

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